According to the source, U.S. authorities have recently accumulated about 121,000 BTC linked to pig-butchering scams as discussed in a YouTube interview with Samson Mow on Oct 18, 2025. source: Samson Mow interview on YouTube, Oct 18, 2025. Mow cautioned that building a national reserve on seized assets is dangerous, indicating such BTC is more likely to be disposed of than strategically held. source: Samson Mow interview on YouTube, Oct 18, 2025. For trading, monitor potential supply overhang from future government dispositions given the U.S. Marshals Service’s history of auctioning seized BTC. source: U.S. Marshals Service auction press releases 2014-2015. Watch for on-chain movements from labeled U.S. government wallets, as prior Silk Road-related sales showed transfers before liquidation. source: U.S. DOJ filing in U.S. v. Zhong, Mar 31, 2023; Arkham Intelligence public wallet labels.

According to the source, the U.K. government reportedly controls about $7 billion in seized Bitcoin (BTC) tied to convicted Chinese money launderers, and the post does not cite any official disposition plan or sale schedule (source: source post). For precedent, U.S. authorities disposed of seized BTC via scheduled public auctions from 2014 to 2021, limiting direct exchange selling and providing market notice (source: U.S. Marshals Service public auction notices). In contrast, Germany’s Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA) transferred seized BTC to exchanges in June–July 2024, with real-time flags from on-chain firms and close trader monitoring of the wallets (sources: Arkham Intelligence wallet alerts; Glassnode on-chain data). Traders should track official U.K. channels for asset recovery procedures and potential auction or OTC announcements to gauge supply timing (sources: U.K. Home Office asset recovery guidance; U.K. National Crime Agency asset recovery updates). Practical steps include setting alerts for movements of government-labeled wallets and watching for large transfers to exchanges that can signal near-term supply (sources: Arkham Intelligence labeling and alerts; Chainalysis research on government wallet flows). If a structured auction or OTC program is announced, liquidity providers can prepare hedges in advance as seen during prior U.S. auctions, which historically provided lead time for pricing supply into the market (sources: U.S. Marshals Service auction timetables; CME Group BTC futures liquidity data).